Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 55.7%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 20.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.28%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (6.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
