Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 53.96%. A draw had a probability of 24.3% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 21.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.97%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (6.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match.
