Vitoria de Guimaraes 0-1 Porto - Primeira Liga - January 21, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

After accumulating 11 victories in 16 Primeira Liga matches this season, we can envision Porto culminating an end-to-end 90 minutes with a 12th success under their footballing belt come Saturday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 65.09%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 14.09%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.4%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win it was 1-0 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Porto in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Porto.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Porto
14.09% ( -0.09)	20.82% ( -0.1)	65.09% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 46.52% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.59% (

0.23)

48.41% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.45% (

0.21)

70.55% (

-0.21)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.16% (

45.83% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.41% (

81.59% (

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.9% (

0.13)

14.1% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.28% (

0.26)

41.72% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 14.09%

Porto 65.09%

Draw 20.82%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 5.04% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1% ( -0) 3-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.24% Total : 14.09%	1-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0) Other @ 0.71% Total : 20.82%	0-1 @ 12.66% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 12.4% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0) 0-3 @ 8.1% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 6.32% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 3.97% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.45% Total : 65.09%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	34	28	3	3	82	20	62	87
2	Porto	34	27	4	3	73	22	51	85
3	Braga	33	24	3	6	72	30	42	75
4	Sporting Lisbon	34	23	5	6	71	32	39	74
5	Arouca Arouca	34	15	9	10	36	37	-1	54
6	Vitoria de Guimaraes Guimaraes	34	16	5	13	34	39	-5	53
7	Chaves Chaves	34	12	10	12	35	40	-5	46
8	Famalicao Famalicao	34	13	5	16	39	47	-8	44
9	Boavista Boavista	34	12	8	14	43	54	-11	44
10	Casa Pia	34	11	8	15	31	40	-9	41
11	Vizela	34	11	7	16	34	38	-4	40
12	Rio Ave Rio Ave	34	10	10	14	36	43	-7	40
13	Gil Vicente	34	10	7	17	32	41	-9	37
14	Estoril Praia Estoril	34	10	5	19	33	49	-16	35
15	Portimonense Portimonense	34	10	4	20	25	48	-23	34
16	Maritimo	34	7	5	22	32	63	-31	26
17	Pacos de Ferreira Pacos de Ferreira	33	6	5	22	26	59	-33	23
R	Santa Clara Santa Clara	34	5	7	22	26	58	-32	22

Form, Standings, Stats