SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 43.38%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.74%) and 0-2 (8.07%). The likeliest Vizela win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
29.66% ( 0.69) | 26.96% ( -0.05) | 43.38% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 49.33% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.4% ( 0.47) | 55.6% ( -0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.24% ( 0.38) | 76.76% ( -0.38) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.15% ( 0.77) | 33.85% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.48% ( 0.83) | 70.52% ( -0.83) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.58% ( -0.11) | 25.42% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.77% ( -0.15) | 60.23% ( 0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( 0.14)2-0 @ 5.05% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 2.5% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.66% | 1-1 @ 12.76% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.16)2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.96% | 0-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.26) 1-2 @ 8.74% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.07% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 31 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 72 | 17 | 55 | 80 |
| 2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 64 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 9 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40 |
| 11 | Vizela | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 23 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
