SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 37.7%. A win for Chaves had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Chaves win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Chaves |
37.7% ( -0.48) | 27.37% ( 0.19) | 34.93% ( 0.29) |
| Both teams to score 49.67% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.1% ( -0.73) | 55.9% ( 0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.99% ( -0.6) | 77.01% ( 0.6) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.33% ( -0.64) | 28.67% ( 0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.52% ( -0.8) | 64.48% ( 0.8) |
| Chaves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( -0.18) | 30.37% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.44% ( -0.21) | 66.56% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Chaves |
| 1-0 @ 10.87% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 2.83% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.67% Total : 37.7% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.88% Total : 27.37% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 7.72% ( 0)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.46% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.92% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 34 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 82 | 20 | 62 | 87 |
| 2 | Porto | 34 | 27 | 4 | 3 | 73 | 22 | 51 | 85 |
| 3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 23 | 5 | 6 | 71 | 32 | 39 | 74 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 54 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 53 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 13 | 5 | 16 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 44 |
| 9 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 43 | 54 | -11 | 44 |
| 10 | Casa Pia | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 40 | -9 | 41 |
| 11 | Vizela | 34 | 11 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 38 | -4 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 36 | 43 | -7 | 40 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 37 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 35 |
| 15 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 10 | 4 | 20 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 34 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 32 | 63 | -31 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 23 |
| R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 34 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | 58 | -32 | 22 |
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