SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.75%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 0-1 (7.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
52.17% ( 0.44) | 24.91% ( 0.21) | 22.93% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 49.91% ( -1.36) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.86% ( -1.43) | 52.14% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.14% ( -1.25) | 73.86% ( 1.24) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.03% ( -0.38) | 19.97% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.86% ( -0.62) | 52.14% ( 0.61) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.36% ( -1.4) | 37.63% ( 1.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.59% ( -1.4) | 74.41% ( 1.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 1-0 @ 12.1% ( 0.53) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.32)2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.12% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.14)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.75% Total : 52.16% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.42)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.2)Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.9% | 0-1 @ 7.35% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.18)0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 25 |
| 2 | Sporting Lisbon | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 25 |
| 3 | Porto | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 22 |
| 4 | Braga | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 29 | 18 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 19 |
| 6 | BoavistaBoavista | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 15 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Estrela Amadora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 | PortimonensePortimonense | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 24 | -13 | 11 |
| 11 | Gil Vicente | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 10 |
| 12 | SC FarenseFarense | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 10 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 10 |
| 14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | ChavesChaves | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 28 | -16 | 7 |
| 16 | AroucaArouca | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 14 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 | Vizela | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 16 | -6 | 6 |
| 18 | Rio AveRio Ave | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 5 |
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