SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 62.06%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Leixoes had a probability of 16.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.6%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Leixoes win it was 1-0 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Famalicao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leixoes | Draw | Famalicao |
| 16.16% | 21.78% ( 0) | 62.06% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 48.42% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.52% ( -0.01) | 48.48% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.39% ( -0.01) | 70.61% ( 0.01) |
| Leixoes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.01% ( -0) | 42.99% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.72% ( -0) | 79.28% ( 0) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.93% ( -0) | 15.07% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.4% ( -0.01) | 43.6% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leixoes | Draw | Famalicao |
| 1-0 @ 5.47% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.37% 2-0 @ 2.31% 3-1 @ 1.23% 3-2 @ 1.16% ( -0)Other @ 1.62% Total : 16.16% | 1-1 @ 10.35% 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0)Other @ 0.81% Total : 21.78% | 0-1 @ 12.26% 0-2 @ 11.6% 1-2 @ 9.79% 0-3 @ 7.32% 1-3 @ 6.18% ( -0)0-4 @ 3.46% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.92% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0)0-5 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.11% Other @ 2.27% Total : 62.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 25 | 4 | 4 | 87 | 30 | 57 | 79 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 81 | 39 | 42 | 78 |
| 3 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 18 | 11 | 4 | 61 | 27 | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 32 | 19 | 6 | 7 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 63 |
| 5 | Liverpool | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 66 | 42 | 24 | 59 |
| 6 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 63 | 57 | 6 | 54 |
| 7 | Aston Villa | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 54 |
| 8 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 31 | 15 | 7 | 9 | 61 | 40 | 21 | 52 |
| 9 | Brentford | 34 | 12 | 14 | 8 | 52 | 44 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Fulham | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 45 | 46 | -1 | 45 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 45 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | Bournemouth | 34 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 36 | 64 | -28 | 39 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 37 |
| 15 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 34 |
| 16 | Leicester CityLeicester | 34 | 8 | 6 | 20 | 46 | 59 | -13 | 30 |
| 17 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 43 | 67 | -24 | 30 |
| 18 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 30 |
| 19 | Everton | 34 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 27 | 52 | -25 | 29 |
| 20 | Southampton | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 24 |
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