SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Famalicao win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Famalicao win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Famalicao | Draw | Rio Ave |
43.99% ( -0.14) | 27.15% ( 0) | 28.85% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.36% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.36% ( 0.04) | 56.63% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.4% ( 0.03) | 77.6% ( -0.03) |
| Famalicao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.42% ( -0.05) | 25.57% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.55% ( -0.07) | 60.45% ( 0.07) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.98% ( 0.12) | 35.02% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.24% ( 0.13) | 71.76% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Famalicao | Draw | Rio Ave |
| 1-0 @ 12.21% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.74% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.33% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.96% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.15% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 28.85% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 33 | 27 | 3 | 3 | 79 | 20 | 59 | 84 |
| 2 | Porto | 33 | 26 | 4 | 3 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 82 |
| 3 | Braga | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 72 | 30 | 42 | 75 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 31 | 38 | 71 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 53 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 51 |
| 7 | ChavesChaves | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 46 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 33 | 13 | 4 | 16 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | Casa Pia | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 31 | 39 | -8 | 41 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 41 |
| 11 | Vizela | 33 | 11 | 7 | 15 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 40 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 33 | 10 | 4 | 19 | 25 | 46 | -21 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 33 | 9 | 7 | 17 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 34 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 33 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 32 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 33 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 31 | 60 | -29 | 26 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 33 | 6 | 5 | 22 | 26 | 59 | -33 | 23 |
| R | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 33 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 22 |
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