SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 31.76% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pacos de Ferreira in this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Santa Clara |
40.44% ( 0.29) | 27.8% ( 0.06) | 31.76% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 47.73% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.96% ( -0.29) | 58.04% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.28% ( -0.23) | 78.72% ( 0.23) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.88% ( 0.02) | 28.12% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.2% ( 0.03) | 63.8% ( -0.03) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.4% ( -0.4) | 33.6% ( 0.4) |
