SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 42.17%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 30.84% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.76%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Santa Clara | Draw | Boavista |
30.84% ( 0.45) | 26.99% ( 0.41) | 42.17% ( -0.86) |
| Both teams to score 49.79% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.73% ( -1.43) | 55.27% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.51% ( -1.19) | 76.49% ( 1.19) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.19% ( -0.41) | 32.81% ( 0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.62% ( -0.46) | 69.38% ( 0.46) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.11% ( -1.09) | 25.89% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 39.12% ( -1.5) | 60.88% ( 1.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santa Clara | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 0.41) 2-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.28% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.79% ( -0.07)Other @ 2.57% Total : 30.84% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( 0.17) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( 0.46)2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.89% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 8.64% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 7.76% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.89% ( -0.2)0-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.11)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.24% Total : 42.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 61 | 13 | 48 | 65 |
| 2 | Porto | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 57 |
| 3 | Braga | 24 | 18 | 1 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 55 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 40 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 28 | 31 | -3 | 37 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 35 |
| 8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 31 | -8 | 30 |
| 9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 30 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 30 |
| 11 | Vizela | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 27 | -1 | 29 |
| 12 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 29 |
| 13 | ChavesChaves | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 29 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 24 | 8 | 2 | 14 | 18 | 31 | -13 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 22 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 17 | 45 | -28 | 16 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 18 | 42 | -24 | 15 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 15 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
