SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 50.71%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 23.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.99%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.27%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Portimonense |
50.71% ( 0.05) | 26.11% ( -0.03) | 23.18% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 46.76% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.57% ( 0.1) | 56.43% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.56% ( 0.08) | 77.44% ( -0.08) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.67% ( 0.06) | 22.33% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.2% ( 0.09) | 55.8% ( -0.09) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.2% ( 0.04) | 39.8% ( -0.04) |
