Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 60.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Sporting Covilha had a probability of 17.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Sporting Covilha win it was 0-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Sporting Covilha |
60.37% ( -0.18) | 21.71% ( 0.07) | 17.92% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 52.2% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.74% ( -0.14) | 45.26% ( 0.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.4% ( -0.13) | 67.6% ( 0.13) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.45% ( -0.1) | 14.55% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.4% ( -0.2) | 42.6% ( 0.19) |
Sporting Covilha Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.09% ( 0.04) | 38.91% ( -0.04) |