SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 36.81%. A win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boavista would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pacos de Ferreira | Draw | Boavista |
36.25% ( 0.03) | 26.94% ( -0.01) | 36.81% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 51.11% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.87% ( 0.05) | 54.13% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.45% ( 0.04) | 75.55% ( -0.04) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.32% ( 0.04) | 28.68% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 35.5% ( 0.05) | 64.5% ( -0.05) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.66% ( 0.02) | 28.34% ( -0.01) |
