SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 55.18%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 19.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (7.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Portimonense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Pacos de Ferreira |
55.18% ( 0.19) | 25.31% ( -0.19) | 19.52% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 44.37% ( 0.49) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.86% ( 0.65) | 57.14% ( -0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.99% ( 0.52) | 78% ( -0.52) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.26% ( 0.34) | 20.73% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.64% ( 0.53) | 53.36% ( -0.53) |
| Pacos de Ferreira Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.97% ( 0.38) | 44.03% ( -0.38) |
