SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 48.29%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 25.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 0-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Boavista | Draw | Casa Pia |
48.29% ( 0.06) | 25.72% ( -0.03) | 25.98% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.55% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% ( 0.08) | 52.83% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% ( 0.07) | 74.45% ( -0.07) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.11% ( 0.06) | 21.89% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.86% ( 0.09) | 55.14% ( -0.09) |
| Casa Pia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.71% ( 0.01) | 35.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.95% ( 0.01) | 72.04% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boavista | Draw | Casa Pia |
| 1-0 @ 11.73% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.91% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.7% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0)Other @ 2.27% Total : 48.29% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.94% Total : 25.72% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.21% 2-3 @ 1.68% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.46% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 25.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 26 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 67 | 14 | 53 | 71 |
| 2 | Braga | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 59 |
| 3 | Porto | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 58 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 53 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 41 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 38 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
| 8 | Vizela | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 33 |
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 30 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 19 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 15 |
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