SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.84%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest Estoril Praia win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
28.28% ( -0.01) | 26.94% ( -0.04) | 44.77% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 48.65% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.9% ( 0.14) | 56.1% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% ( 0.11) | 77.17% ( -0.12) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.82% ( 0.06) | 35.17% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.07% ( 0.07) | 71.92% ( -0.07) |
| Boavista Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( 0.08) | 24.94% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.42% ( 0.12) | 59.57% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Boavista |
| 1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.32% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.67% 3-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.09% Total : 28.29% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.05)2-2 @ 4.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.93% | 0-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 8.46% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.09% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.37% Total : 44.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 30 | 25 | 2 | 3 | 71 | 17 | 54 | 77 |
| 2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
| 3 | Braga | 30 | 23 | 2 | 5 | 66 | 25 | 41 | 71 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 64 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 44 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 9 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40 |
| 11 | Vizela | 30 | 11 | 6 | 13 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 38 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 22 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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