We said: Arouca 2-1 Santa Clara
While Os Acoreanos will be looking to take the positives from Monday's draw, they have struggled for results against Arouca in recent meetings. Buoyed by their home fans, we predict that Arouca will come away with a slender victory and extend their winning streak against Arouca to three matches.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 36.86%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 34.97% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.81%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-0 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.
| Result |
| Arouca | Draw | Santa Clara |
34.97% ( -0.02) | 28.17% ( 0) | 36.86% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.26% ( -0.01) |
| 41.1% ( -0.02) | 58.89% ( 0.02) |
| 20.61% ( -0.01) | 79.39% ( 0.01) |
| 68.15% ( -0.02) | 31.85% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.71% ( -0.02) | 68.28% ( 0.02) |
