SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 78.95%. A draw had a probability of 14.4% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 6.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.93%) and 1-0 (11.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.77%), while for a Santa Clara win it was 0-1 (2.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Santa Clara |
78.95% ( 0.05) | 14.35% ( -0.03) | 6.7% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 40.08% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.69% ( 0.1) | 41.31% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.29% ( 0.1) | 63.71% ( -0.1) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.53% ( 0.03) | 8.47% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 70.63% ( 0.09) | 29.37% ( -0.09) |
| Santa Clara Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 43.79% ( 0.03) | 56.21% ( -0.03) |
