SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 62.92%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 15.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.29%) and 1-2 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
15.18% ( 0.09) | 21.9% ( 0.25) | 62.92% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 45.9% ( -0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.3% ( -0.81) | 50.7% ( 0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.4% ( -0.72) | 72.6% ( 0.72) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.35% ( -0.36) | 45.65% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 18.55% ( -0.28) | 81.45% ( 0.28) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( -0.38) | 15.54% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.53% ( -0.72) | 44.47% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 5.56% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 4.06% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.33% Total : 15.18% | 1-1 @ 10.35% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.23)2-2 @ 3.78% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.67% Total : 21.9% | 0-1 @ 13.2% ( 0.25) 0-2 @ 12.29% ( 0.08)1-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 7.63% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 5.98% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 3.55% ( -0.07)1-4 @ 2.79% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.06)0-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.04)1-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.03% Total : 62.9% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 25 | 22 | 2 | 1 | 66 | 14 | 52 | 68 |
| 2 | Porto | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 58 |
| 3 | Braga | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | 54 | 22 | 32 | 56 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 23 | 26 | 50 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 41 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 38 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
| 8 | Vizela | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 25 | 9 | 6 | 10 | 25 | 28 | -3 | 33 |
| 10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 33 |
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 26 | 31 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 28 | 40 | -12 | 30 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
| 17 | Maritimo | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 47 | -30 | 16 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 17 | 38 | -21 | 15 |
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