Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 58.42%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Rio Ave had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.81%) and 1-2 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Rio Ave win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
