SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 71.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 10.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.02%) and 2-1 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.36%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Sporting Lisbon in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Sporting Lisbon.
| Result | ||
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
71.5% ( -0.11) | 17.57% ( 0.05) | 10.93% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 47.6% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.17% ( -0.03) | 41.83% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.77% ( -0.03) | 64.23% ( 0.04) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.61% ( -0.04) | 10.39% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.08% ( -0.09) | 33.92% ( 0.09) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.12% ( 0.1) | 46.88% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.6% ( 0.08) | 82.4% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sporting Lisbon | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 2-0 @ 12.48% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 11.02% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 9.43% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 7.14% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.83% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0)6-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.19% Total : 71.48% | 1-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.76% Total : 17.57% | 0-1 @ 3.69% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 10.93% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 28 | 23 | 2 | 3 | 68 | 17 | 51 | 71 |
| 2 | Porto | 28 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 60 | 19 | 41 | 67 |
| 3 | Braga | 28 | 21 | 2 | 5 | 61 | 24 | 37 | 65 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 27 | 18 | 3 | 6 | 56 | 26 | 30 | 57 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31 | 32 | -1 | 44 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 41 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 28 | 12 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 39 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 39 |
| 9 | Vizela | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 28 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | ChavesChaves | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 28 | 33 | -5 | 36 |
| 11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 32 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 33 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 28 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 31 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 28 | 9 | 3 | 16 | 21 | 35 | -14 | 30 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 23 | 44 | -21 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 24 | 51 | -27 | 22 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 28 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 17 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 28 | 3 | 6 | 19 | 18 | 44 | -26 | 15 |
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