SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 35.79%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.35% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-0 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
35.35% ( -0.19) | 28.85% ( 0.19) | 35.79% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 45.29% ( -0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.68% ( -0.67) | 61.32% ( 0.67) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.76% ( -0.5) | 81.23% ( 0.5) |
| Rio Ave Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.15% ( -0.47) | 32.85% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.58% ( -0.53) | 69.42% ( 0.53) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.44% ( -0.34) | 32.56% ( 0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.9% ( -0.38) | 69.09% ( 0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rio Ave | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.63% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 2.46% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.35% | 1-1 @ 13.36% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.69% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.85% | 0-1 @ 12% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 7.5% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.73% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.79% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 26 | 23 | 2 | 1 | 67 | 14 | 53 | 71 |
| 2 | Braga | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 59 |
| 3 | Porto | 25 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 55 | 17 | 38 | 58 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 25 | 17 | 2 | 6 | 52 | 23 | 29 | 53 |
| 5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 41 |
| 6 | AroucaArouca | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 29 | 32 | -3 | 38 |
| 7 | Casa Pia | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 38 |
| 8 | Vizela | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 35 |
| 9 | Rio AveRio Ave | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 33 |
| 10 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 32 | -7 | 33 |
| 11 | ChavesChaves | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 32 |
| 12 | BoavistaBoavista | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 30 |
| 13 | Gil Vicente | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 29 |
| 14 | PortimonensePortimonense | 25 | 8 | 2 | 15 | 18 | 32 | -14 | 26 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 22 | 39 | -17 | 25 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 19 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 19 | 43 | -24 | 17 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 26 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 41 | -24 | 15 |
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