SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 44.09%. A win for Vizela had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Vizela win was 0-1 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Vizela would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Vizela |
44.09% ( -0.55) | 26.34% ( 0) | 29.57% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 51.15% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.76% ( 0.23) | 53.24% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.2% ( 0.2) | 74.8% ( -0.2) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.98% ( -0.16) | 24.02% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.72% ( -0.23) | 58.27% ( 0.23) |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.31% ( 0.53) | 32.68% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.76% ( 0.59) | 69.23% ( -0.59) |
| Score Analysis |
| Portimonense | Draw | Vizela |
| 1-0 @ 11.19% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 7.99% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 3.8% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.69% Total : 44.08% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.34% | 0-1 @ 8.78% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.58% Total : 29.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Benfica | 31 | 26 | 2 | 3 | 72 | 17 | 55 | 80 |
| 2 | Porto | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 63 | 19 | 44 | 73 |
| 3 | Braga | 31 | 23 | 2 | 6 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 71 |
| 4 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 20 | 4 | 6 | 61 | 28 | 33 | 64 |
| 5 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 34 | -1 | 48 |
| 6 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 14 | 5 | 12 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 47 |
| 7 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 13 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 39 | -5 | 42 |
| 8 | Casa Pia | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 40 |
| 9 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 40 |
| 10 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 40 |
| 11 | Vizela | 31 | 11 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 39 |
| 12 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 37 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 10 | 4 | 17 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 34 |
| 14 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 28 |
| 16 | Maritimo | 31 | 6 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 58 | -29 | 23 |
| 17 | Pacos de FerreiraPacos de Ferreira | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 23 | 52 | -29 | 20 |
| 18 | Santa ClaraSanta Clara | 31 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 22 | 50 | -28 | 19 |
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