Vitoria de Guimaraes 1-0 Portimonense - Primeira Liga - February 11, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

After a disappointing start to the year, Vitoria de Guimaraes have put together a fine run of form in recent weeks and head into the weekend as slight favourites to grab the desired results. While Portimonense appear to have hit their stride once again, we are backing the hosts to come out on top this Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Portimonense had a probability of 18.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.42%), while for a Portimonense win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Vitoria de Guimaraes in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Vitoria de Guimaraes.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Portimonense
57.39% ( 0.07)	24.46% ( -0.02)	18.14% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 44.48% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.19% (

0.03)

55.8% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.07% (

0.02)

76.93% (

-0.02)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.66% (

0.04)

19.34% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.88% (

0.07)

51.11% (

-0.07)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.14% (

-0.04)

44.85% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.18% (

-0.04)

80.82% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 57.38%

Portimonense 18.14%

Draw 24.46%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Portimonense
1-0 @ 14.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.41% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.63% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.68% Total : 57.38%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.46%	0-1 @ 6.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.79% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.59% Total : 18.14%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	26	23	2	1	67	14	53	71
2	Braga	26	19	2	5	56	23	33	59
3	Porto	25	18	4	3	55	17	38	58
4	Sporting Lisbon	25	17	2	6	52	23	29	53
5	Vitoria de Guimaraes Guimaraes	26	12	5	9	25	29	-4	41
6	Arouca Arouca	25	10	8	7	29	32	-3	38
7	Casa Pia	26	11	5	10	23	27	-4	38
8	Vizela	26	10	5	11	30	28	2	35
9	Rio Ave Rio Ave	26	9	6	11	25	29	-4	33
10	Famalicao Famalicao	25	10	3	12	25	32	-7	33
11	Chaves Chaves	26	8	8	10	27	33	-6	32
12	Boavista Boavista	26	8	6	12	30	44	-14	30
13	Gil Vicente	25	8	5	12	26	32	-6	29
14	Portimonense Portimonense	25	8	2	15	18	32	-14	26
15	Estoril Praia Estoril	26	7	4	15	22	39	-17	25
16	Maritimo	26	5	4	17	21	49	-28	19
17	Pacos de Ferreira Pacos de Ferreira	26	4	5	17	19	43	-24	17
18	Santa Clara Santa Clara	26	3	6	17	17	41	-24	15

Form, Standings, Stats