SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portimonense win with a probability of 52.27%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 22.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portimonense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.2%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (7.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Portimonense would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Portimonense | Draw | Maritimo |
52.27% ( 0.04) | 25.5% ( -0.01) | 22.24% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.4% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.96% ( 0.03) | 55.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.7% ( 0.02) | 76.3% ( -0.02) |
| Portimonense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.91% ( 0.03) | 21.09% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.09% ( 0.04) | 53.91% ( -0.04) |
| Maritimo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.07% ( -0.01) | 39.93% ( 0.01) |
