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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 22
Feb 25, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio do Futebol Clube de Vizela
B
Vizela
0 - 2
Benfica

Guzzo (17'), Claudemir (61'), Anderson (79')
Anderson (87')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mario (38', 90+5' pen.)
Otamendi (18'), Silva (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Vizela
Friday, February 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Boavista
Monday, February 20 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Vizela 1-3 Benfica

While Vizela have shown resilience on home soil in recent weeks, they are in for a tough 90 minutes against a Benfica side who are on a roll. As Aguias are currently firing on all cylinders and given the gulf in quality and experience between the two sides, we are backing them to ease to their sixth consecutive league victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 80.88%. A draw had a probability of 12.5% and a win for Vizela had a probability of 6.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (11.1%) and 0-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.9%), while for a Vizela win it was 1-0 (2.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Benfica in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Benfica.

Result
VizelaDrawBenfica
6.61% (0.0491 0.05) 12.51% (0.058 0.06) 80.88% (-0.10300000000001 -0.1)
Both teams to score 47.06% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.84% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)32.16% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.25% (-0.109 -0.11)53.75% (0.11199999999999 0.11)
Vizela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.11% (0.062999999999995 0.06)49.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.41% (0.045 0.04)84.58% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.92% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)6.08% (0.04 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.91% (-0.107 -0.11)23.09% (0.11 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Vizela 6.61%
    Benfica 80.88%
    Draw 12.51%
VizelaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 2.11% (0.015 0.02)
2-1 @ 2.05% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 6.61%
1-1 @ 5.9% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 3.03% (0.015 0.02)
2-2 @ 2.87% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 12.51%
0-2 @ 11.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 11.1% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 8.49% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.27% (0.019 0.02)
0-4 @ 7.77% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.72%
1-4 @ 5.41% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-5 @ 4.36% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-5 @ 3.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.68% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-6 @ 2.03% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.88% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-6 @ 1.41% (-0.01 -0.01)
2-5 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 80.88%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-1 Vizela
Friday, February 17 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 0-0 Chaves
Friday, February 10 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Porto 2-0 Vizela
Sunday, February 5 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 3-1 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 29 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-1 Vizela
Friday, January 20 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Vizela 3-0 Maritimo
Saturday, January 14 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Benfica 3-1 Boavista
Monday, February 20 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Brugge 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, February 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Braga 1-1 Benfica (5-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8.30pm in Taca de Portugal
Last Game: Benfica 3-0 Casa Pia
Saturday, February 4 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 0-3 Benfica
Tuesday, January 31 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 0-2 Benfica
Thursday, January 26 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

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