Vitoria de Guimaraes 0-2 Arouca - Primeira Liga - March 11, 2023 - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings - Football

Vitoria have won five in six, which is expected to become six in seven, with their impressive sequence of wins facing an Arouca side that struggles on their travels, claiming just two wins on the road all season. Without a triumph on their travels since November 5, their five-game away run without a win should extend to six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 49.47%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 24.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Arouca win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Arouca
49.47% ( -0.14)	26.2% ( 0.02)	24.33% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 47.67% (

0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.16% (

0.03)

55.84% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.04% (

0.02)

76.96% (

-0.02)

Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.37% (

-0.05)

22.63% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.75% (

-0.07)

56.25% (

0.07)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.61% (

0.12)

38.39% (

-0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.86% (

0.12)

75.14% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Vitoria de Guimaraes 49.46%

Arouca 24.33%

Draw 26.19%

Vitoria de Guimaraes	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 12.9% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.86% Total : 49.46%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.69% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.76% Total : 26.19%	0-1 @ 8.32% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.56% Total : 24.33%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Benfica	29	24	2	3	69	17	52	74
2	Braga	30	23	2	5	66	25	41	71
3	Porto	29	22	4	3	62	19	43	70
4	Sporting Lisbon	29	19	4	6	59	27	32	61
5	Arouca Arouca	30	13	9	8	33	34	-1	48
6	Vitoria de Guimaraes Guimaraes	30	13	5	12	29	36	-7	44
7	Famalicao Famalicao	29	13	3	13	33	37	-4	42
8	Chaves Chaves	30	10	10	10	30	34	-4	40
9	Vizela	30	11	6	13	33	32	1	39
10	Casa Pia	30	11	6	13	27	34	-7	39
11	Rio Ave Rio Ave	30	10	8	12	31	35	-4	38
12	Boavista Boavista	29	10	7	12	36	48	-12	37
13	Portimonense Portimonense	30	10	3	17	23	39	-16	33
14	Gil Vicente	29	8	7	14	26	34	-8	31
15	Estoril Praia Estoril	29	7	4	18	23	45	-22	25
16	Maritimo	30	6	4	20	27	56	-29	22
17	Pacos de Ferreira Pacos de Ferreira	30	5	5	20	23	52	-29	20
18	Santa Clara Santa Clara	29	3	7	19	19	45	-26	16

Form, Standings, Stats