Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitoria de Guimaraes win with a probability of 38.67%. A draw had a probability of 30.7% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 30.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.84%) and 1-2 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.46%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
