SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Udinese | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | Roma | 6 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | Inter Milan | 6 | 4 | 12 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Napoli | 6 | 9 | 14 |
| 2 | Atalanta BC | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | AC Milan | 6 | 6 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 45.23%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 26.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.1%) and 2-1 (8.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for an Atalanta BC win it was 0-1 (9.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
45.23% ( 0.62) | 28.15% ( -0.17) | 26.63% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 44.29% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.86% ( 0.33) | 61.14% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.9% ( 0.25) | 81.1% ( -0.25) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.98% ( 0.48) | 27.02% ( -0.48) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.62% ( 0.62) | 62.38% ( -0.62) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.69% ( -0.2) | 39.31% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.98% ( -0.19) | 76.02% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Roma | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 1-0 @ 13.9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.1% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 8.49% ( 0.08)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.83% Total : 45.23% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.62% ( -0.13)2-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.14% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.89% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0)Other @ 1.46% Total : 26.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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