MX23RW : Monday, April 24 19:26:03
SM
Monday, April 24
Serie A | Gameweek 13
Dec 20, 2020 at 5pm UK
Stadio Atleti Azzurri d'Italia
Atalanta
4 - 1
Roma
Zapata (59'), Gosens (70'), Muriel (72'), Ilicic (85')
Malinovskiy (37'), Romero (39')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dzeko (3')
Pellegrini (36'), Mirante (57'), Mancini (64')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 40.76%. A win for Roma had a probability of 36.74% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.7%) and 2-0 (5.03%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
40.76%22.5%36.74%
Both teams to score 67.24%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.65%33.35%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.87%55.13%
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.88%17.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.66%47.34%
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.13%18.87%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.67%50.33%
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 40.76%
    Roma 36.74%
    Draw 22.5%
Atalanta BCDrawRoma
2-1 @ 8.39%
1-0 @ 5.7%
2-0 @ 5.03%
3-1 @ 4.94%
3-2 @ 4.12%
3-0 @ 2.96%
4-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.82%
4-0 @ 1.31%
4-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 40.76%
1-1 @ 9.51%
2-2 @ 7%
0-0 @ 3.23%
3-3 @ 2.29%
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 7.93%
0-1 @ 5.39%
0-2 @ 4.49%
1-3 @ 4.41%
2-3 @ 3.89%
0-3 @ 2.5%
1-4 @ 1.84%
2-4 @ 1.62%
0-4 @ 1.04%
3-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 36.74%

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Serie A Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli31253367214678
2Lazio31187649212861
3Juventus31185847262159
4Roma30175842261656
5AC Milan31168751371456
6Inter Milan311731151341754
7Atalanta BCAtalanta30147948351349
8Bologna31128114039144
9Udinese31101294239342
10Fiorentina31119113736142
11Torino31119113236-442
12Monza31118123843-541
13SassuoloSassuolo31117133846-840
14Salernitana31712123750-1333
15Empoli31711132540-1532
16Lecce31610152638-1228
17SpeziaSpezia31512142649-2327
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona3168172644-1826
19Cremonese31310182757-3019
20Sampdoria3138202052-3217
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