SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Lazio | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Torino | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | Atalanta BC | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 8 | Torino | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 9 | Udinese | 4 | 0 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.45%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Torino had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.95%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (6.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Torino |
54.45% ( -0.1) | 23.98% ( 0.04) | 21.57% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 50.99% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.15% ( -0.11) | 49.85% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.15% ( -0.09) | 71.85% ( 0.1) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.8% ( -0.08) | 18.2% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.79% ( -0.13) | 49.21% ( 0.14) |
| Torino Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.34% ( 0) | 37.66% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.56% ( 0) | 74.44% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Torino |
| 1-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.41% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.35% Total : 54.44% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0)Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.97% | 0-1 @ 6.7% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.27% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.62% Total : 21.57% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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