Ludogorets Razgrad 2-1 Roma - Europa League Group Stage - Football

With plenty of European experience on their side - not least already this season - Ludogorets will prove no pushovers for a Roma squad shaken by their heavy loss at the weekend. A draw would represent an acceptable result for both sides, and that is the likeliest outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 58.31%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 19.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-0 (5.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.

Result
Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Roma
19.4% ( -0.04)	22.3% ( 0.03)	58.31% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.97% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.44% (

-0.21)

45.57% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.11% (

-0.2)

67.89% (

0.2)

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.55% (

-0.17)

37.45% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.77% (

-0.16)

74.23% (

0.16)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.69% (

-0.07)

15.32% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.95% (

-0.13)

44.05% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Ludogorets Razgrad 19.4%

Roma 58.3%

Draw 22.3%

Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.77% 3-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.6% Total : 19.4%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.3%	0-1 @ 10.76% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 10.09% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 9.92% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 6.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.96% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.91% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.11% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 58.3%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City Man City	35	27	4	4	92	31	61	85
2	Arsenal	36	25	6	5	83	42	41	81
3	Newcastle United Newcastle	36	19	12	5	67	32	35	69
4	Manchester United Man Utd	35	20	6	9	51	41	10	66
5	Liverpool	36	19	8	9	70	42	28	65
6	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	35	17	7	11	67	49	18	58
7	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	36	17	6	13	65	59	6	57
8	Aston Villa	36	17	6	13	48	44	4	57
9	Brentford	36	13	14	9	54	45	9	53
10	Fulham	36	15	6	15	52	49	3	51
11	Chelsea	35	11	10	14	36	41	-5	43
12	Crystal Palace	36	11	10	15	37	46	-9	43
13	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	36	11	7	18	30	52	-22	40
14	Bournemouth	36	11	6	19	37	69	-32	39
15	West Ham United West Ham	36	10	7	19	38	52	-14	37
16	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	36	8	10	18	36	67	-31	34
17	Everton	36	7	11	18	32	56	-24	32
18	Leeds United Leeds	36	7	10	19	46	71	-25	31
19	Leicester City Leicester	36	8	6	22	49	67	-18	30
R	Southampton	36	6	6	24	31	66	-35	24

Form, Standings, Stats