Ludogorets Razgrad 1-0 FK Zalgiris - Europa League Playoffs - Football

Ludogorets know that they must capitalise on playing in front of their fans if they are to be in the driving seat of the tie ahead of next week's return leg. We are backing them to get the job done come the sound of the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FK Zalgiris win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a FK Zalgiris win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (6.91%). The likeliest Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	FK Zalgiris
32.82% ( 0.1)	25.31% ( 0.02)	41.87% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 55.9% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.27% (

-0.04)

47.73% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.08% (

-0.04)

69.92% (

0.04)

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.31% (

0.04)

27.69% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76% (

0.05)

63.24% (

-0.05)

FK Zalgiris Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.31% (

-0.07)

22.69% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.65% (

-0.11)

56.35% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Ludogorets Razgrad 32.82%

FK Zalgiris 41.87%

Draw 25.3%

Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	FK Zalgiris
1-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.88% Total : 32.82%	1-1 @ 11.96% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.28% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.7% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.3%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.91% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.82% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 2.21% Total : 41.87%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City Man City	35	27	4	4	92	31	61	85
2	Arsenal	36	25	6	5	83	42	41	81
3	Newcastle United Newcastle	36	19	12	5	67	32	35	69
4	Manchester United Man Utd	35	20	6	9	51	41	10	66
5	Liverpool	36	19	8	9	70	42	28	65
6	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	35	17	7	11	67	49	18	58
7	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	36	17	6	13	65	59	6	57
8	Aston Villa	36	17	6	13	48	44	4	57
9	Brentford	36	13	14	9	54	45	9	53
10	Fulham	36	15	6	15	52	49	3	51
11	Chelsea	35	11	10	14	36	41	-5	43
12	Crystal Palace	36	11	10	15	37	46	-9	43
13	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	36	11	7	18	30	52	-22	40
14	Bournemouth	36	11	6	19	37	69	-32	39
15	West Ham United West Ham	36	10	7	19	38	52	-14	37
16	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	36	8	10	18	36	67	-31	34
17	Everton	36	7	11	18	32	56	-24	32
18	Leeds United Leeds	36	7	10	19	46	71	-25	31
19	Leicester City Leicester	36	8	6	22	49	67	-18	30
R	Southampton	36	6	6	24	31	66	-35	24

Form, Standings, Stats