Ludogorets Razgrad 2-0 Sutjeska Niksic - Champions League First Qualifying Round - Football

Sutjeska are certainly capable of making this an uncomfortable 90 minutes for Ludogorets, but we are finding it difficult to back anything other than a home victory in the first leg, and the Bulgarian outfit should ultimately have too much quality over the two matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ludogorets Razgrad win with a probability of 38.44%. A win for Sutjeska Niksic had a probability of 35.27% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ludogorets Razgrad win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Sutjeska Niksic win was 0-1 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ludogorets Razgrad would win this match.

Result
Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Sutjeska Niksic
38.44% ( -0.03)	26.28% ( 0.01)	35.27% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.18% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.53% (

-0.03)

51.47% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.72% (

-0.03)

73.27% (

0.03)

Ludogorets Razgrad Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.85% (

-0.03)

26.15% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.77% (

-0.04)

61.22% (

0.04)

Sutjeska Niksic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.01% (

-0)

27.98% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.38% (

-0)

63.62% (

Score Analysis

Ludogorets Razgrad 38.44%

Sutjeska Niksic 35.27%

Draw 26.28%

Ludogorets Razgrad	Draw	Sutjeska Niksic
1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.58% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.75% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 38.44%	1-1 @ 12.5% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.28%	0-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.96% ( 0) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.82% Total : 35.27%

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
1	Manchester City Man City	35	27	4	4	92	31	61	85
2	Arsenal	36	25	6	5	83	42	41	81
3	Newcastle United Newcastle	35	18	12	5	63	31	32	66
4	Manchester United Man Utd	35	20	6	9	51	41	10	66
5	Liverpool	36	19	8	9	70	42	28	65
6	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	34	17	7	10	66	45	21	58
7	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	36	17	6	13	65	59	6	57
8	Aston Villa	36	17	6	13	48	44	4	57
9	Brentford	36	13	14	9	54	45	9	53
10	Fulham	36	15	6	15	52	49	3	51
11	Chelsea	35	11	10	14	36	41	-5	43
12	Crystal Palace	36	11	10	15	37	46	-9	43
13	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	36	11	7	18	30	52	-22	40
14	Bournemouth	36	11	6	19	37	69	-32	39
15	West Ham United West Ham	36	10	7	19	38	52	-14	37
16	Nottingham Forest Nott'm Forest	36	8	10	18	36	67	-31	34
17	Everton	36	7	11	18	32	56	-24	32
18	Leeds United Leeds	36	7	10	19	46	71	-25	31
19	Leicester City Leicester	36	8	6	22	49	67	-18	30
R	Southampton	36	6	6	24	31	66	-35	24

Form, Standings, Stats