Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 51.56%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ludogorets Razgrad had a probability of 24.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.63%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.58%), while for a Ludogorets Razgrad win it was 1-0 (6.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.
