SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Sampdoria | 5 | -7 | 2 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 5 | -5 | 1 |
| 20 | Monza | 4 | -9 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | AC Milan | 5 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Atalanta BC | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Udinese | 5 | 4 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 44.42%. A win for Monza had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Monza win was 2-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Monza | Draw | Atalanta BC |
31.09% ( 2.4) | 24.49% ( 0.62) | 44.42% ( -3.01) |
| Both teams to score 57.97% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.29% ( -1.54) | 44.71% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.93% ( -1.51) | 67.07% ( 1.51) |
| Monza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.69% ( 0.83) | 27.31% ( -0.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.24% ( 1.07) | 62.76% ( -1.06) |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -1.87) | 20.25% ( 1.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.42% ( -3.09) | 52.59% ( 3.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Monza | Draw | Atalanta BC |
| 2-1 @ 7.44% ( 0.4) 1-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.62)2-0 @ 4.66% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.24)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.26)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.97% Total : 31.09% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 5.53% ( 0.36)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.49% | 1-2 @ 9.15% ( -0.26) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.05% ( -0.37)1-3 @ 4.87% ( -0.44)0-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.44)2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.95% ( -0.31)0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.28)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.88% Total : 44.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
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