SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 38.05%. A win for Espanyol had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Espanyol win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Valladolid |
34.88% ( 0.66) | 27.06% ( 0.11) | 38.05% ( -0.77) |
| Both teams to score 50.62% ( -0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.3% ( -0.38) | 54.7% ( 0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.98% ( -0.32) | 76.02% ( 0.32) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.2% ( 0.23) | 29.8% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.12% ( 0.28) | 65.88% ( -0.27) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( -0.62) | 27.89% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.5% ( -0.79) | 63.5% ( 0.8) |
| Score Analysis |
| Espanyol | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 6.09% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.46% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 2% ( -0)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 34.88% | 1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.94% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 10.61% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.14)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.93% Total : 38.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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