SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Espanyol win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 35.12% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Espanyol win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.54%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (11.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Espanyol | Draw | Valencia |
36.06% ( 0.02) | 28.82% ( -0.01) | 35.12% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 45.37% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.78% ( 0.02) | 61.22% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.84% ( 0.02) | 81.16% ( -0.01) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.66% ( 0.02) | 32.33% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.16% ( 0.02) | 68.84% ( -0.02) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.05% ( 0) | 32.95% ( -0) |
