SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 | Valencia | 5 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 | Mallorca | 5 | -2 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Rayo Vallecano | 5 | 0 | 7 |
| 10 | Celta Vigo | 5 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad | 5 | -2 | 7 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (8.36%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Valencia | Draw | Celta Vigo |
43.32% ( -1) | 27.73% ( 0.51) | 28.96% ( 0.49) |
| Both teams to score 46.79% ( -1.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.34% ( -1.63) | 58.66% ( 1.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.79% ( -1.28) | 79.2% ( 1.28) |
| Valencia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.14% ( -1.26) | 26.85% ( 1.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.84% ( -1.69) | 62.16% ( 1.69) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.97% ( -0.49) | 36.02% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.19% ( -0.5) | 72.8% ( 0.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Valencia | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 12.71% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( -0.2)2-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 3.66% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.95% Total : 43.31% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 9.67% ( 0.58)2-2 @ 4.36% ( -0.16)Other @ 0.71% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.47) 1-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.08)Other @ 1.95% Total : 28.96% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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