MX23RW : Sunday, May 14 19:23:06
SM
Sunday, May 14
CV
La Liga | Gameweek 16
Dec 5, 2021 at 8pm UK
Balaidos
VL
Celta Vigo
1 - 2
Valencia
Aspas (11')
Beltran (9'), Aspas (12'), Nolito (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Duro (19'), Gomez (53')
Gomez (36'), Gaya (51')

We said: Celta Vigo 2-2 Valencia

There has not actually been a draw between these two sides in the league since September 2018, but we are predicting the spoils to be shared here. Both teams are capable of scoring goals, and it would not be a surprise to see an entertaining 2-2 draw on Sunday evening. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 33.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Celta VigoDrawValencia
38.81%27.92%33.27%
Both teams to score 47.77%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84%58.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.18%78.82%
Celta Vigo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.89%29.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.96%65.04%
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39%32.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85%69.15%
Score Analysis
    Celta Vigo 38.81%
    Valencia 33.26%
    Draw 27.91%
Celta VigoDrawValencia
1-0 @ 11.71%
2-1 @ 8.1%
2-0 @ 7.23%
3-1 @ 3.33%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 1.87%
4-1 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 38.81%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 9.49%
2-2 @ 4.54%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.91%
0-1 @ 10.63%
1-2 @ 7.36%
0-2 @ 5.96%
1-3 @ 2.75%
0-3 @ 2.23%
2-3 @ 1.7%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 33.26%

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La Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33264360114982
2Real Madrid34225770323871
3Atletico MadridAtletico34216760273369
4Real Sociedad34188845311462
5Villarreal341761152351757
6Real BetisBetis33157114037352
7GironaGirona34139125448648
8Sevilla34138134449-547
9Osasuna34138133236-447
10Athletic Bilbao34138134438647
11Rayo Vallecano331210114042-246
12Mallorca34128143337-444
13Celta Vigo34109153948-939
14Valencia34107173841-337
15Almeria34106184361-1836
16CadizCadiz34811152650-2435
17Real ValladolidValladolid34105193060-3035
18Getafe34810163043-1334
19Espanyol33710164056-1631
RElcheElche3447232664-3819
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