SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 8 | Atletico Madrid | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Girona | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Valencia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Espanyol | 2 | -2 | 1 |
| 16 | Celta Vigo | 2 | -3 | 1 |
| 17 | Elche | 2 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 43.36%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 27.42%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.87%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Celta Vigo |
43.36% ( -0.02) | 29.21% ( -0.01) | 27.42% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 42.08% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.84% ( 0.03) | 64.16% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.7% ( 0.02) | 83.3% ( -0.02) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.53% ( 0) | 29.47% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.52% ( 0) | 65.48% ( -0) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.67% ( 0.04) | 40.33% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 23.04% ( 0.03) | 76.96% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 14.52% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 1% Other @ 1.43% Total : 43.36% | 1-1 @ 13.18% 0-0 @ 11.88% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 3.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.48% Total : 29.2% | 0-1 @ 10.79% 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.34% Total : 27.42% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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