SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Sevilla | 4 | -5 | 1 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid | 3 | -7 | 1 |
| 18 | Elche | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Mallorca | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | Almeria | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Girona | 4 | 0 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for Almeria had a probability of 28.46% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest Almeria win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Valladolid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Almeria |
45.98% ( 3.83) | 25.55% ( -0.25) | 28.46% ( -3.58) |
| Both teams to score 52.94% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.39% ( -0.51) | 50.6% ( 0.51) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.48% ( -0.45) | 72.51% ( 0.45) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.01% ( 1.59) | 21.99% ( -1.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.7% ( 2.36) | 55.3% ( -2.36) |
| Almeria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.86% ( -2.78) | 32.14% ( 2.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.38% ( -3.28) | 68.62% ( 3.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Almeria |
| 1-0 @ 10.7% ( 0.7) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.35)2-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.88)3-1 @ 4.65% ( 0.38)3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.61)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.29)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.98% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.14)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.2)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.55% | 0-1 @ 8.02% ( -0.46) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.62)0-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.65)1-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.46)2-3 @ 1.98% ( -0.24)0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.4)Other @ 2.68% Total : 28.46% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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