SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Sevilla | 5 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 | Real Valladolid | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 | Getafe | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 18 | Getafe | 5 | -8 | 4 |
| 19 | Elche | 5 | -11 | 1 |
| 20 | Cadiz | 5 | -14 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 55.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Real Valladolid | Draw | Cadiz |
55.46% ( 0.06) | 24.88% ( -0.02) | 19.67% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 45.73% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.56% ( 0.06) | 55.44% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.37% ( 0.05) | 76.63% ( -0.05) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.05% ( 0.05) | 19.95% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 47.89% ( 0.08) | 52.11% ( -0.08) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.13% ( -0) | 42.87% |
