SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Mallorca | 4 | 1 | 5 |
| 12 | Girona | 4 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Almeria | 4 | -1 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Espanyol | 4 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 | Real Valladolid | 4 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Sevilla | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 45.46%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.47%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 0-1 (8.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Real Valladolid |
45.46% ( -0.07) | 26.52% ( 0.03) | 28.01% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.7% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.32% ( -0.08) | 54.68% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24% ( -0.07) | 76% ( 0.07) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.02% ( -0.07) | 23.98% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.78% ( -0.1) | 58.22% ( 0.1) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.37% ( -0.01) | 34.63% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.65% ( -0.01) | 71.35% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Real Valladolid |
| 1-0 @ 11.85% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.27% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 45.46% | 1-1 @ 12.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.3% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.36% 2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0)Other @ 2.18% Total : 28.02% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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