SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 9 | Real Sociedad | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Mallorca | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Almeria | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Rayo Vallecano | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Girona | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Valencia | 3 | -1 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 42.57%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 28.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.52%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.19%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mallorca | Draw | Girona |
42.57% ( 0.88) | 28.81% ( 0.04) | 28.61% ( -0.93) |
| Both teams to score 43.72% ( -0.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.57% ( -0.47) | 62.43% ( 0.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.95% ( -0.34) | 82.05% ( 0.34) |
| Mallorca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.94% ( 0.26) | 29.05% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.03% ( 0.32) | 64.96% ( -0.33) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.63% ( -1) | 38.37% ( 1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 24.88% ( -0.97) | 75.12% ( 0.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mallorca | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.51% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.36% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.08% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.52% Total : 42.57% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 11.14% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.79% | 0-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.19)1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.6% Total : 28.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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