SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Villarreal | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 5 | Osasuna | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Real Madrid | 1 | 1 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Almeria | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 17 | Cadiz | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 18 | Girona | 1 | -1 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 42.99%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 0-1 (9.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Osasuna | Draw | Cadiz |
42.99% ( -4.1) | 27.73% ( 0.93) | 29.28% ( 3.17) |
| Both teams to score 46.94% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.45% ( -1.73) | 58.55% ( 1.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.88% ( -1.37) | 79.12% ( 1.37) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.02% ( -2.83) | 26.98% ( 2.83) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.68% ( -3.87) | 62.32% ( 3.87) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.28% ( 1.64) | 35.71% ( -1.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.51% ( 1.66) | 72.49% ( -1.66) |
| Score Analysis |
| Osasuna | Draw | Cadiz |
| 1-0 @ 12.62% ( -0.19) 2-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.45)2-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.84)3-1 @ 3.72% ( -0.53)3-0 @ 3.61% ( -0.7)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 1.22% ( -0.29)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.35)Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.99% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.61)2-2 @ 4.38% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.72% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 9.92% ( 1.04) 1-2 @ 6.69% ( 0.48)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.74)1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.26)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.32)2-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.01% Total : 29.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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