SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Real Betis | 38 | 22 | 65 |
| 6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 3 | 62 |
| 7 | Villarreal | 38 | 26 | 59 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Getafe | 38 | -8 | 39 |
| 16 | Cadiz | 38 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Mallorca | 38 | -27 | 39 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 60.09%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 16.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Cadiz win it was 0-1 (6.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Real Sociedad | Draw | Cadiz |
60.09% ( -0.12) | 23.11% ( -0.01) | 16.81% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 45.81% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.31% ( 0.22) | 52.69% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.67% ( 0.18) | 74.33% ( -0.18) |
| Real Sociedad Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.81% ( 0.04) | 17.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 52.54% ( 0.07) | 47.46% ( -0.06) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.32% ( 0.29) | 44.68% ( -0.29) |
