Both teams will view this match as the perfect chance to put down a marker in the race for a top-four position, but we are finding it difficult to separate the two sides here. It would not be a surprise to see a home or indeed an away victory, but we believe that the pair will cancel each other out in a low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 26.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.89%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
