SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 40.13%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 30.1% and a draw had a probability of 29.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Getafe win was 1-0 (11.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Valladolid would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Real Valladolid |
30.1% ( 0.05) | 29.77% ( -0.03) | 40.13% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 41.9% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.01% ( 0.1) | 64.99% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.11% ( 0.07) | 83.88% ( -0.08) |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.39% ( 0.1) | 38.61% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 24.64% ( 0.09) | 75.35% ( -0.09) |
| Real Valladolid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.25% ( 0.04) | 31.75% ( -0.04) |
