SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 54.88%. A win for Roma had a probability of 22.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Roma win was 1-2 (5.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Inter Milan | Draw | Roma |
54.88% ( -0.08) | 22.53% ( 0) | 22.59% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 57.06% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.53% ( 0.08) | 42.46% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.13% ( 0.07) | 64.87% ( -0.08) |
| Inter Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.61% ( -0) | 15.39% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 55.81% ( -0) | 44.19% ( 0) |
| Roma Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.43% ( 0.11) | 32.56% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.9% ( 0.12) | 69.1% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Inter Milan | Draw | Roma |
| 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.38% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.14% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.87% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.08% 5-0 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 2.73% Total : 54.88% | 1-1 @ 10.52% 2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.53% | 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 22.59% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Napoli | 37 | 27 | 6 | 4 | 75 | 28 | 47 | 87 |
| 2 | Lazio | 37 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 58 | 30 | 28 | 71 |
| 3 | Inter Milan | 37 | 22 | 3 | 12 | 70 | 42 | 28 | 69 |
| 4 | AC Milan | 37 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 67 |
| 5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 18 | 7 | 12 | 61 | 46 | 15 | 61 |
| 6 | Roma | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 48 | 37 | 11 | 60 |
| 7 | Juventus | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 55 | 33 | 22 | 59 |
| 8 | Torino | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 42 | 40 | 2 | 53 |
| 9 | Fiorentina | 37 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 50 | 42 | 8 | 53 |
| 10 | Monza | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 46 | 47 | -1 | 52 |
| 11 | Bologna | 37 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 47 | 3 | 51 |
| 12 | Udinese | 37 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 47 | 47 | 0 | 46 |
| 13 | SassuoloSassuolo | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 46 | 58 | -12 | 45 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 43 |
| 15 | Salernitana | 37 | 9 | 15 | 13 | 48 | 60 | -12 | 42 |
| 16 | Lecce | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 36 |
| 17 | SpeziaSpezia | 37 | 6 | 13 | 18 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 31 |
| 18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 30 | 56 | -26 | 31 |
| 19 | Cremonese | 37 | 4 | 12 | 21 | 34 | 69 | -35 | 24 |
| R | Sampdoria | 37 | 3 | 10 | 24 | 24 | 69 | -45 | 19 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
